MS
Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 delivered record revenue of $3.01B (+6% y/y) and non‑GAAP EPS of $4.04 (+4% y/y); GAAP EPS was $3.56 (+3% y/y). Backlog ended at a record $14.7B (+$438M y/y), positioning for continued growth .
- Segment mix was healthy: Products & Systems Integration (PSI) sales +3% y/y and Software & Services (S&S) +11% y/y; Q4 non‑GAAP operating margin was 30.4% (PSI 30.5%, S&S 30.3%). Non‑GAAP margin ticked down ~10 bps y/y on acquisitions, partially offset by mix and lower direct materials .
- FY25 outlook: revenue growth ~5.5% with non‑GAAP EPS $14.64–$14.74; Q1’25 revenue +5.0%–5.5% and non‑GAAP EPS $2.98–$3.03. Assumes ~$120M FY FX headwind, 171M diluted shares, and non‑GAAP tax rate ~23% (Q1 tax ~21%) .
- Cash generation remained a strength: Q4 operating cash flow $1.07B (FCF $983M); FY24 record OCF $2.4B (+17% y/y) and FCF $2.1B (+19% y/y) .
- Stock reaction catalysts: resilient demand in LMR/video/command center, FedRAMP High authorization supporting federal momentum, accretive ecosystem M&A (RapidDeploy, Theatro, 3tc), and backlog‑led visibility; offset by U.K. Home Office constraints, FX/tariff headwinds, and slight S&S margin compression .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- “Record sales, operating earnings and cash flow” in 2024 with robust demand across LMR, video, and command center; backlog at a record $14.7B (+$438M y/y) .
- Q4 came in above company guidance on revenue with both segments and all three technologies growing; non‑GAAP EPS +4% y/y on higher sales and favorable mix .
- Strong cash generation (Q4 OCF $1.07B; FY OCF $2.4B) and healthy balance sheet (>$2B cash at year‑end) bolster capital allocation flexibility .
- CEO: “Strong demand for our safety and security solutions, together with our record backlog, positions us well for another year of strong growth” .
- What Went Wrong
- S&S non‑GAAP margin modestly down y/y (30.3% vs 31.6%) on acquisitions; group non‑GAAP operating margin down ~10 bps y/y (30.4% vs 30.5%) .
- Q4 cash flow down y/y (OCF $1.07B vs $1.25B; FCF $983M vs $1.16B) on working capital timing and higher tax/interest payments .
- U.K. Home Office headwinds persisted (Airwave Charge Control), with appeal avenues narrowed; class action filed Dec 2024; litigation continues into 2025 .
Financial Results
Revenue, EPS, and Margins
Segment Performance
KPIs
Non‑GAAP adjustments context: Q4 non‑GAAP EPS excludes ~$0.48/sh of highlighted items (e.g., share‑based comp, amortization); includes a $(0.36)/sh Hytera gain and $0.18/sh Hytera legal expense .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “2024 marked another exceptional year for the company, with record sales, operating earnings and cash flow.” — Greg Brown, Chairman & CEO .
- “Revenue for the quarter grew 6% and was above our guidance… Non‑GAAP EPS was $4.04, up 4%… driven by higher sales and favorable mix.” — Jason Winkler, CFO .
- “As we enter 2025… record backlog and healthy balance sheet positions us well for another year of strong revenue, earnings per share and cash flow growth.” — Greg Brown .
- “We expect to generate $2.7B in OCF [in 2025], which… would be our third consecutive year of double‑digit operating cash flow growth.” — Jason Winkler .
Q&A Highlights
- Federal demand and policy: Management not seeing customer behavior changes from federal spending shifts; federal video remains a bright spot; FedRAMP High enables broader APX/CommandCentral deployment into agencies .
- Ukraine/International: No Ukraine revenue expected in 2025 (vs ~$80M in 2024), contributing to international revenue pressure; North America strong .
- Tariffs & footprint: Guide reflects tariffs “in effect today”; footprint (Mexico/Malaysia/Canada) provides flexibility; China exposure minimal; PPV tailwind moderating to ~$25M in 2025 .
- Video mix: Q4 saw product growth, but video software outpaced hardware for full year; cloud adoption “favorable” even as it smooths revenue recognition .
- Theatro acquisition: Small near‑term revenue; strategic fit for AI/voice workflows for frontline workers; expands Command Center offering .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4’24 revenue/EPS was unavailable due to access limits at the time of analysis; as a result, we cannot present objective “vs. consensus” deltas for Q4’24. Values from S&P Global were not retrieved due to request‑limit errors.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Demand durability: Broad‑based growth across PSI (+3% y/y) and S&S (+11% y/y) with record backlog ($14.7B) underpins FY25 guide despite FX/tariff headwinds .
- Margin quality: Non‑GAAP operating margin expanded sequentially through 2024 (Q2→Q4), with PSI mix and cost tailwinds; S&S margin dipped modestly on acquisitions but remains ~30% .
- Cash generation: Q4 OCF $1.07B; FY25 OCF guide ~$2.7B supports continued buybacks, M&A, and R&D—important for multiple expansion support in volatile macro .
- Cloud/SaaS flywheel: Rising cloud adoption in Video/Command Center (plus FedRAMP High) increases recurring revenue visibility and federal access; near‑term revenue smoothing offsets by higher durability .
- Risk watch‑list: U.K. Airwave constraints, FX headwinds (~$120M FY25), potential tariff expansions; litigation developments (Hytera/UK proceedings) remain non‑operating swing factors .
- Ecosystem M&A: RapidDeploy (NG911), Theatro (AI/voice), and 3tc (CAD) deepen integrated safety/security stack—supporting cross‑sell and stickier workflows in 2025+ .
- Trading setup: With backlog strength, rising cloud mix, and expanding OCF, narrative skew remains positive; monitor S&S margin recapture, international stabilization ex‑U.K., and tariff policy for upside/ downside catalysts .
Appendices
Non‑GAAP adjustments detail (Q4’24):
- After‑tax non‑GAAP EPS adjustments totaled ~$0.48/sh, including share‑based comp ($0.37), intangibles amortization ($0.23), Hytera legal expenses ($0.18), reorg costs ($0.10), M&A fees ($0.04), and Hytera gain (–$0.36), among others .
Select operational disclosures:
- Q4 OCF $1.07B vs $1.25B y/y; FCF $983M vs $1.16B y/y on working capital/taxes/interest .
- Q4 segment sales: PSI $1.949B (+3% y/y), S&S $1.061B (+11% y/y) .
- FY24: Sales $10.817B (+8% y/y), GAAP EPS $9.23, non‑GAAP EPS $13.84; record FCF $2.134B (+19% y/y) .
(End of report)